Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.700634e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069
2025-05-04 2.064095e-05 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085
2025-05-11 1.751948e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000048 0.000063 0.000081 0.000104
2025-05-18 1.434037e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000048 0.000066 0.000089 0.000118
2025-05-25 1.085183e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000066 0.000092 0.000125
2025-06-01 8.504600e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000134
2025-06-08 6.963645e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000043 0.000068 0.000100 0.000145
2025-06-15 5.690972e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000043 0.000069 0.000105 0.000155
2025-06-22 4.487446e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000108 0.000162
2025-06-29 3.389914e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000068 0.000109 0.000167
2025-07-06 2.459896e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000109 0.000170
2025-07-13 1.903404e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000067 0.000111 0.000177
2025-07-20 1.449723e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000036 0.000069 0.000117 0.000190
2025-07-27 1.112589e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000036 0.000071 0.000124 0.000205
2025-08-03 9.798784e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000077 0.000136 0.000227
2025-08-10 7.486021e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000080 0.000143 0.000242
2025-08-17 4.524343e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000144 0.000247
2025-08-24 2.806503e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000146 0.000256
2025-08-31 1.852635e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000079 0.000152 0.000269
2025-09-07 1.158159e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000080 0.000156 0.000280
2025-09-14 6.077644e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000080 0.000159 0.000289
2025-09-21 2.435335e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000078 0.000159 0.000294
2025-09-28 6.336594e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000076 0.000158 0.000297